Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1.605499 1.868354 2.141090 2.443725 2.768722 3.105945 3.481021
2024-12-29 1.219743 1.588911 1.994044 2.465330 2.992701 3.559527 4.209905
2025-01-05 1.004785 1.424924 1.905045 2.481608 3.143867 3.870984 4.720456
2025-01-12 0.807912 1.254352 1.786213 2.444923 3.220099 4.087546 5.116946
2025-01-19 0.730369 1.214625 1.809435 2.562155 3.462527 4.482689 5.705485
2025-01-26 0.670561 1.188442 1.842312 2.685369 3.707751 4.878109 6.292370
2025-02-02 0.627261 1.177487 1.889256 2.821671 3.965408 5.285711 6.891641
2025-02-09 0.598285 1.181724 1.952478 2.975746 4.242794 5.715439 7.516106
2025-02-16 0.548444 1.150572 1.965596 3.064019 4.438317 6.047493 8.026277
2025-02-23 0.482971 1.089337 1.933785 3.091372 4.556436 6.285811 8.425435
2025-03-02 0.387875 0.971594 1.817462 3.003681 4.527640 6.345247 8.611471
2025-03-09 0.312416 0.874337 1.722040 2.937176 4.520319 6.426527 8.819888
2025-03-16 0.249518 0.792075 1.647026 2.900535 4.556739 6.569601 9.114054
2025-03-23 0.212191 0.750138 1.628479 2.939095 4.689259 6.831160 9.552293
2025-03-30 0.174758 0.700595 1.593848 2.951931 4.785698 7.046018 9.932241
2025-04-06 0.133039 0.632523 1.525055 2.913265 4.812450 7.172970 10.204855
2025-04-13 0.125539 0.639046 1.574529 3.041736 5.058489 7.572566 10.808368
2025-04-20 0.119853 0.648835 1.628993 3.177348 5.314220 7.984728 11.427879
2025-04-27 0.116777 0.664452 1.692948 3.326767 5.588594 8.420716 12.077126
2025-05-04 0.116828 0.687869 1.770001 3.495441 5.889027 8.889951 12.767714
2025-05-11 0.106438 0.682233 1.797599 3.591901 6.093164 9.238509 13.311323
2025-05-18 0.088325 0.651365 1.780481 3.621776 6.207488 9.473676 13.716049
2025-05-25 0.058871 0.575680 1.680614 3.525974 6.150269 9.490516 13.851644